Andrew Gelman: Statistician of the Year (2014-2015), awarded by the Chicago Chapter of the American Statistical Association

Professor Andrew Gelman:  Statistician of the Year (2014-2015), awarded by the Chicago Chapter of the American Statistical Association

Andrew Gelman is one of the leading quantitative researchers at the intersection of social science and statistics. He received his undergraduate degrees in math and physics at MIT, and his PhD in statistics from Harvard, and is currently a professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University, having also taught at Berkeley, Chicago, and Harvard. His main research areas include public opinion and voting, environmental science, survey research, Bayesian data analysis, and statistical graphics and computing.

Dr. Gelman has won numerous honors for his work, including the Outstanding Statistical Application award from the ASA in 2008 for co-authoring the paper, “How Many People do You Know in Prison?” using overdispersion in count data to estimate social structure in networks. He also received the award for best article published in the American Political Science Review, and was recognized by the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies with the COPSS President’s Award for outstanding contributions to the profession of statistics by a person under 40.

In addition to his many books and articles, Dr. Gelman is also well-known for his humorous and informative blog Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, which covers topics ranging from data analysis and statistical graphics to politics and social science, and is the top featured blog on StatsBlogs.

Anti-Abortion Democrats
Jimmy Carter Republicans
and the Missing Leap Day Babies
–
Living With Uncertainty
But Still Learning

To learn about the human world, we should accept uncertainty and embrace variation. Dr. Gelman will illustrate with various examples from recent collaborative research and then discuss more generally how statistical methods can help or hinder the scientific process. The worry, of course, being that statistics is often sold to the world as a way of laundering uncertainty, with users combining noisy and biased data to create a false sense of knowledge.

 

 

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Recent Faculty Publications

Before data analysis: Additional recommendations for designing experiments to learn about the world.
Andrew Gelman (2023).
Pathfinder: Parallel quasi-Newton variational inference.
Andrew Gelman (2022).
Toward a taxonomy of trust for probabilistic machine learning. Science Advances, 9(7), eabn3999.
Broderick, T., Gelman, A., Meager, R., Smith, A. L., & Zheng, T. (2023).
Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling for semivariances and higher moments of heavy tailed data, (PNAS November 16,2021)
Brown, M., Cohen, J.E., Tang, C-F., & Yam, S.C.P. (2021).
Privacy-preserving parametric inference: a case for robust statistics. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(534), 969-983.
Avella-Medina, M. (2021).
Heavy-tailed distributions, correlations, kurtosis, and Taylor’s law of fluctuation scaling. Proceedings of the Royal Society A 476:20200610.
J. E. Cohen, Richard A. Davis, Gennady Samorodnitsky (2020).
Robust estimation of superhedging prices. The Annals of Statistics, 49(1), 508-530
Obłój, J., & Wiesel, J. (2021).
Estimating causal effects in studies of human brain function: New models, methods and estimands. The annals of applied statistics, 14(1), 452.
Sobel, M. E., & Lindquist, M. A. (2020).
A note on the Screaming Toes game. arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.04805.
Tavaré, S. (2020).
Testing for stationarity of functional time series in the frequency domain. The Annals of Statistics, 48(5), 2505-2547.
Aue, A., & Van Delft, A. (2020).
Distinguishing cause from effect using quantiles: Bivariate quantile causal discovery. In International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 9311-9323). PMLR.
Tagasovska, N., Chavez-Demoulin, V., & Vatter, T. (2020, November).
Large‐scale, image‐based tree species mapping in a tropical forest using artificial perceptual learning. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 12(4), 608-618.
Tang, C., Uriarte, M., Jin, H., C Morton, D., & Zheng, T. (2021).
Optimal stopping and worker selection in crowdsourcing: An adaptive sequential probability ratio test framework. Statistica Sinica, 31(1), 519-546.
Li, X., Chen, Y., Chen, X., Liu, J., & Ying, Z. (2021)
Revisiting colocalization via optimal transport. Nature Computational Science, 1(3), 177-178.
Wang, S., & Yuan, M. (2021).
Multivariate rank-based distribution-free nonparametric testing using measure transportation. Journal of the American Statistical Association, (just-accepted), 1-45.
Deb, N., & Sen, B. (2021).
From Decoupling and Self-Normalization to Machine Learning
Victor H. de la Pena
Capacity-Achieving Sparse Superposition Codes via Approximate Message Passing Decoding
Cynthia Rush, Adam Greig, Ramji Venkataramanan
Slice Sampling on Hamiltonian Trajectories
John P. Cunningham, Benjamin Bloem-Reddy
Feature Augmentation via Nonparametrics and Selection (FANS) in High Dimensional Classification
Fan, J., Feng, Y., Jiang, J. and Tong, X.
Asset pricing with general transaction costs: Theory and numerics. Mathematical Finance, 31(2), 595-648.
Gonon, L., Muhle‐Karbe, J., & Shi, X. (2021).
Convergence to the mean-field game limit: a case study. The Annals of Applied Probability, 30(1), 259-286.
Nutz, M., San Martin, J., & Tan, X. (2020).
An asymptotic rate for the LASSO loss. In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (pp. 3664-3673). PMLR.
Rush, C. (2020, June).
Credit Risk, Liquidity, and Bubbles. International Review of Finance, 20(3), 737-746.
Jarrow, R., & Protter, P. (2020).
Neural clustering processes. In International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 7455-7465). PMLR.
Pakman, A., Wang, Y., Mitelut, C., Lee, J., & Paninski, L. (2020, November).
Joint estimation of parameters in Ising model. The Annals of Statistics, 48(2), 785-810.
Ghosal, P., & Mukherjee, S. (2020).
Latent feature extraction for process data via multidimensional scaling. psychometrika, 85(2), 378-397.
Tang, X., Wang, Z., He, Q., Liu, J., & Ying, Z. (2020).
An Interaction-based Convolutional Neural Network (ICNN) Towards Better Understanding of COVID-19 X-ray Images. arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.06911.
Lo, S. H., & Yin, Y. (2021).
An adaptable generalization of Hotelling’s $ T^{2} $ test in high dimension. The Annals of Statistics, 48(3), 1815-1847.
Li, H., Aue, A., Paul, D., Peng, J., & Wang, P. (2020).
Self-Tuning Bandits over Unknown Covariate-Shifts. In Algorithmic Learning Theory (pp. 1114-1156). PMLR.
Suk, J., & Kpotufe, S. (2021, March).
A Joint MLE Approach to Large-Scale Structured Latent Attribute Analysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association, (just-accepted), 1-39.
Gu, Y., & Xu, G. (2021).
Bayesian statistics and modelling. Nature Reviews Methods Primers, 1(1), 1-26.
van de Schoot, R., Depaoli, S., King, R., Kramer, B., Märtens, K., Tadesse, M. G., ... & Yau, C. (2021).
On the bias and variance of odds ratio, relative risk and false discovery proportion. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 1-31.
Pang, G., Alemayehu, D., de la Peña, V., & Klass, M. J. (2020).
The continuous categorical: a novel simplex-valued exponential family. In International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 3637-3647). PMLR.
Gordon-Rodriguez, E., Loaiza-Ganem, G., & Cunningham, J. (2020, November).
High-frequency analysis of parabolic stochastic PDEs. The Annals of Statistics, 48(2), 1143-1167.
Chong, C. (2020).
Count time series: A methodological review. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1-15.
Davis, R. A., Fokianos, K., Holan, S. H., Joe, H., Livsey, J., Lund, R., ... & Ravishanker, N. (2021).
A Proxy Variable View of Shared Confounding. In International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 10697-10707). PMLR.
Wang, Y., & Blei, D. (2021, July).
Topic-adjusted visibility metric for scientific articles. Ann. Appl. Stat. 10 (2016), no. 1, 1--31.
Linda S. L. Tan, Aik Hui Chan, and Tian Zheng
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